Group · Match 35FIFA World Cup 2026
Netherlands
Manager: Ronald Koeman
FT5 – 1
Sweden
Manager: Graham Potter
5' B. Brobbey17' B. Brobbey47' C. Gakpo54' C. Gakpo89' C. Summerville
59' A. Elanga
Houston Stadium · Saturday, 20 June 2026 · 18:00 · FT · Netherlands won after full-time.
Match odds
Corner Handicap
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
22
1.8355%11
2.2544%Tie
8.0013%Tie 33
8.0013%Source: bet365 · 4 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
Corners Race
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
11
1.3375%22
3.2531%Neither
29.003%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match forecast
Total corners · model prediction
Poisson on the combined campaign baseline · Sanstari estimate per band
Model state
9 TO 11 RANGE
Most likely band is 9 to 11 corners. Range chips show price vs our estimate.
6.5
Netherlands · for
qualifying, per game
11.4
Total corners · projected
4.9
Sweden · for
qualifying, per game
Range market · price vs our estimate · tap to dutch
Tap two adjacent ranges to combine them into one dutched price.
Market
Asian Total Corners 9.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 9.5
Above Estimate1.44
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
+43.9%
Above Est.
Under 9.5
Below Estimate3.35
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
-44.6%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 9 Jun 21:30older price · 150d ago
Market
Asian Handicap Corners
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Netherlands -0.5
Above Estimate1.37
Estimate
1.62
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
+42.9%
Above Est.
Sweden +0.5
Below Estimate3.75
Estimate
2.53
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
-47.9%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 20 Jun 09:30older price · 140d agoPinnacleas of 20 Jun 09:30older price · 140d ago
Match odds
Corner Handicap
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
22
1.8355%11
2.2544%Tie
8.0013%Tie 33
8.0013%Source: bet365 · 4 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
Corners Race
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
11
1.3375%22
3.2531%Neither
29.003%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
NetherlandsSweden
Corners for / g
Corners against / g
Match corners / g
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q88%Team corners O3.5Q63%
Q88%Team corners O4.5Q38%
Q25%Match corners O8.5Q63%
Q25%Match corners O9.5Q63%
Q25%Match corners O10.5Q63%
Differential profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per game · qualifying campaign
Net difference
+4.6 · NETHERLANDS
Netherlands
+4.6
net per game
Sweden
-0.1
net per game
Group FView group
| Team | PL | W | D | L | +/− | GD | PTS | Next | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10-4 | +6 | 7 | |
| 2 | Japan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7-3 | +4 | 5 | |
| 3 | Sweden | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7-7 | 0 | 4 | |
| 4 | Tunisia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2-12 | -10 | 0 |
Other Group F matches5
Upcoming matchesNext 6
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