R16 · Match 89FIFA World Cup 2026
Paraguay
Manager: Gustavo Alfaro
FT0 – 1
France
Manager: Didier Deschamps
70' K. Mbappé (P)
Philadelphia Stadium · Saturday, 4 July 2026 · 22:00 · FT · France won after full-time.
Match odds
Corner Handicap
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
2
1.9551%1
2.0549%Tie
8.0013%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
Corners Race
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
2
1.1289%1
6.0017%Neither
34.003%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match forecast
Total corners · model prediction
Poisson on the combined campaign baseline · Sanstari estimate per band
Model state
9 TO 11 RANGE
Most likely band is 9 to 11 corners. Range chips show price vs our estimate.
4.4
Paraguay · for
qualifying, per game
11.3
Total corners · projected
6.8
France · for
qualifying, per game
Range market · price vs our estimate · tap to dutch
Tap two adjacent ranges to combine them into one dutched price.
Market
Asian Total Corners 9.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 9.5
No Difference1.46
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
Under 9.5
No Difference3.25
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Market prices returning shortly
Market
Asian Handicap Corners
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Paraguay -0.5
Below Estimate9.20
Estimate
1.50
Pinnacle
1.95
Bet365
-78.3%
Below Est.
France +0.5
Above Estimate1.13
Estimate
1.52
Pinnacle
1.85
Bet365
+68.2%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 4 Jul 09:31older price · 125d agoPinnacleas of 4 Jul 09:31older price · 125d ago
Match odds
Corner Handicap
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
2
1.9551%1
2.0549%Tie
8.0013%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
Corners Race
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
2
1.1289%1
6.0017%Neither
34.003%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
ParaguayFrance
Corners for / g
Corners against / g
Match corners / g
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q67%Team corners O3.5Q83%
Q50%Team corners O4.5Q67%
Q56%Match corners O8.5Q50%
Q44%Match corners O9.5Q17%
Q28%Match corners O10.5Q0%
Differential profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per game · qualifying campaign
Net difference
+5.7 · FRANCE
Paraguay
-0.4
net per game
France
+5.7
net per game
Upcoming matchesNext 6
No upcoming fixtures.