Group · Match 23FIFA World Cup 2026
Portugal
Manager: Roberto Martínez Montoliú
FT1 – 1
Congo DR
Manager: Sébastien Desabre
6' J. Neves
45+5' Y. Wissa
Houston Stadium · Wednesday, 17 June 2026 · 18:00 · FT · Game ended in draw.
Sanstari Daily Market Bulletin
Officiating

Referee profile

Sample
NO REFEREE
A. Al Jassim
No referee has been appointed for this fixture yet.
Market

Total Cards Over/Under 2.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
No Difference
1.77
Estimate
1.95
Pinnacle
1.72
Bet365
—
No Diff
Under 2.5
Below Estimate
2.32
Estimate
1.87
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
-11.5%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 17 Jun 17:30older price · 142d agoPinnacleas of 17 Jun 17:30older price · 142d ago
Market

Total Cards Over/Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Below Estimate
2.92
Estimate
2.82
Pinnacle
2.10
Bet365
-26.1%
Below Est.
Under 3.5
Above Estimate
1.53
Estimate
1.39
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
+11.4%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 17 Jun 17:30older price · 142d agoPinnacleas of 17 Jun 17:30older price · 142d ago
Market

Total Cards Over/Under 4.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 4.5
Below Estimate
5.70
Estimate
3.29
Pinnacle
3.35
Unibet
-39.1%
Below Est.
Under 4.5
Above Estimate
1.22
Estimate
1.30
Pinnacle
1.27
Unibet
+6.7%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Unibetas of 17 Jun 17:30older price · 142d agoPinnacleas of 17 Jun 17:30older price · 142d ago
Market

Both Teams To Receive a Card

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference
1.72
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
-0.6%
Below Est.
No
Below Estimate
2.42
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.10
Bet365
-10.3%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 17 Jun 17:30older price · 142d ago
Market

Asian Handicap Cards +0

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Portugal +0
No Difference
1.52
Estimate
3.54
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
Congo DR +0
No Difference
2.94
Estimate
1.29
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Pinnacleas of 17 Jun 17:30older price · 142d ago
Match odds

Player to be Booked

Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
Aaron Tshibola
2.75—
Booked
2.7536%
Cedric Bakambu
3.50—
Joris Kayembe
3.50—
Dylan Batubinsika
3.50—
Gedeon Kalulu
3.50—
Steve Kapuadi
3.50—
Gael Kakuta
4.00—
Aaron Wan-Bissaka
4.00—
Samuel Moutoussamy
4.00—
Noah Sadiki
4.00—
Arthur Masuaku
4.33—
Axel Tuanzebe
4.33—
Yoane Wissa
4.33—
Simon Banza
4.33—
Charles Pickel
4.33—
Edo Kayembe
4.33—
Fiston Mayele
4.33—
Chancel Mbemba
4.75—
Nathanael Mbuku
4.75—
Ngal'ayel Mukau
4.75—
Joao Cancelo
5.00—
Costa Samu
5.00—
Theo Bongonda
5.50—
Meschack Elia
5.50—
Brian Cipenga
5.50—
Francisco Conceicao
6.00—
Goncalo Guedes
6.50—
Ruben Neves
6.50—
Timothy Fayulu
6.50—
Matthieu Epolo
6.50—
Lionel M'Pasi-Nzau
6.50—
Bernardo Silva
7.50—
Bruno Fernandes
7.50—
Ruben Dias
7.50—
Pedro Neto
7.50—
Joao Neves
7.50—
Renato Veiga
7.50—
Nelson Semedo
8.50—
Joao Felix
8.50—
Diogo Dalot
8.50—
Goncalo Inacio
8.50—
Matheus Nunes
9.00—
Cristiano Ronaldo
10.00—
Rafael Leao
10.00—
Tomas Araujo
10.00—
Nuno Mendes
10.00—
Jose Sa
12.00—
Francisco Trincao
12.00—
Goncalo Ramos
12.00—
Ricardo Velho
13.00—
Tiago Rui Silva
13.00—
Diogo Costa
17.00—
Vitinha
17.00—
Source: bet365 · 54 outcomes · informational only
Match odds

1st Player Booked

Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
Aaron Tshibola
7.50—
1st Card
7.5013%
Cedric Bakambu
9.50—
Joris Kayembe
9.50—
Dylan Batubinsika
9.50—
Gedeon Kalulu
9.50—
Steve Kapuadi
9.50—
Gael Kakuta
11.00—
Aaron Wan-Bissaka
11.00—
Samuel Moutoussamy
11.00—
Noah Sadiki
11.00—
Arthur Masuaku
13.00—
Axel Tuanzebe
13.00—
Yoane Wissa
13.00—
Simon Banza
13.00—
Charles Pickel
13.00—
Edo Kayembe
13.00—
Fiston Mayele
13.00—
Chancel Mbemba
15.00—
Theo Bongonda
15.00—
Joao Cancelo
15.00—
Meschack Elia
15.00—
Nathanael Mbuku
15.00—
Brian Cipenga
15.00—
Ngal'ayel Mukau
15.00—
Costa Samu
15.00—
Goncalo Guedes
19.00—
Ruben Neves
19.00—
Timothy Fayulu
19.00—
Francisco Conceicao
19.00—
Matthieu Epolo
19.00—
Lionel M'Pasi-Nzau
19.00—
Bernardo Silva
21.00—
Bruno Fernandes
21.00—
Ruben Dias
21.00—
Pedro Neto
21.00—
Joao Neves
21.00—
Renato Veiga
21.00—
Nelson Semedo
23.00—
Joao Felix
23.00—
Diogo Dalot
23.00—
Goncalo Inacio
23.00—
Matheus Nunes
26.00—
Cristiano Ronaldo
29.00—
Rafael Leao
29.00—
Tomas Araujo
29.00—
Nuno Mendes
29.00—
Jose Sa
34.00—
Francisco Trincao
34.00—
Goncalo Ramos
34.00—
Ricardo Velho
41.00—
Tiago Rui Silva
41.00—
Diogo Costa
51.00—
Vitinha
51.00—
Source: bet365 · 54 outcomes · informational only
Match events

Cards in this match

Total cards · Portugal 3 / Congo DR 1
State
FULL-TIME
13'Yellow card
Bernardo Silva
Foul
Portugal
32'Yellow card
Chancel Mbemba
Foul
Congo DR
88'Yellow card
Nélson Semedo
Foul
Portugal
90+2'Yellow card
Tomás Araújo
Foul
Portugal
Season shape

Team card averages

Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
PortugalCongo DR
1.5
Team cards / g
1.0
3.7
Match cards / g
2.3
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q67%
Team cards Over 1.5
Q25%
Q17%
Team cards Over 2.5
Q0%
Q50%
Match cards Over 3.5
Q17%
Q67%
Both teams carded
Q50%
Overall
Portugal
67%
Over 1.5
17%
Over 2.5
0%
Over 3.5
50%
Match O3.5
Congo DR
25%
Over 1.5
0%
Over 2.5
0%
Over 3.5
17%
Match O3.5