Group · Match 23FIFA World Cup 2026
Portugal
Manager: Roberto Martínez Montoliú
FT1 – 1
Congo DR
Manager: Sébastien Desabre
6' J. Neves
45+5' Y. Wissa
Houston Stadium · Wednesday, 17 June 2026 · 18:00 · FT · Game ended in draw.
Match odds
Corner Handicap
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
11
2.0050%22
2.1048%Tie 33
8.0013%Tie
8.0013%Source: bet365 · 4 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
Corners Race
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
11
3.7527%22
5.5018%Neither
29.003%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match forecast
Total corners · model prediction
Poisson on the combined campaign baseline · Sanstari estimate per band
Model state
12 TO 14 RANGE
Most likely band is 12 to 14 corners. Range chips show price vs our estimate.
6.7
Portugal · for
qualifying, per game
12.3
Total corners · projected
5.6
Congo DR · for
qualifying, per game
Range market · price vs our estimate · tap to dutch
Tap two adjacent ranges to combine them into one dutched price.
Market
Asian Total Corners 9.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 9.5
Above Estimate1.29
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
+60.0%
Above Est.
Under 9.5
Below Estimate4.60
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
-59.1%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 9 Jun 21:29older price · 150d ago
Market
Asian Handicap Corners
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Portugal -0.5
Above Estimate1.72
Estimate
1.56
Pinnacle
1.85
Bet365
+10.8%
Above Est.
Congo DR +0.5
Below Estimate2.40
Estimate
1.45
Pinnacle
1.95
Bet365
-16.7%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 17 Jun 09:30older price · 143d agoPinnacleas of 17 Jun 09:30older price · 143d ago
Match odds
Corner Handicap
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
11
2.0050%22
2.1048%Tie 33
8.0013%Tie
8.0013%Source: bet365 · 4 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
Corners Race
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
11
3.7527%22
5.5018%Neither
29.003%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
PortugalCongo DR
Corners for / g
Corners against / g
Match corners / g
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q100%Team corners O3.5Q58%
Q83%Team corners O4.5Q58%
Q50%Match corners O8.5Q50%
Q17%Match corners O9.5Q33%
Q17%Match corners O10.5Q25%
Differential profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per game · qualifying campaign
Net difference
+4.5 · PORTUGAL
Portugal
+4.5
net per game
Congo DR
+2.3
net per game
Group KView group
| Team | PL | W | D | L | +/− | GD | PTS | Next | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colombia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4-1 | +3 | 7 | |
| 2 | Portugal | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6-1 | +5 | 5 | |
| 3 | Congo DR | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4-3 | +1 | 4 | |
| 4 | Uzbekistan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2-11 | -9 | 0 |
Other Group K matches5
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