R32 · Match 83FIFA World Cup 2026
Portugal
Manager: Roberto Martínez Montoliú
FT2 – 1
Croatia
Manager: Zlatko Dalić
68' C. Ronaldo (P)90+4' G. Ramos
53' I. Perišić
Toronto Stadium · Friday, 3 July 2026 · 00:00 · FT · Portugal won after full-time.
Match odds
Corner Handicap
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
1
1.9052%2
2.2045%Tie
7.5013%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
Corners Race
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
1
1.4469%2
2.6238%Neither
21.005%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match forecast
Total corners · model prediction
Poisson on the combined campaign baseline · Sanstari estimate per band
Model state
OVER 14 RANGE
Most likely band is Over 14 corners. Range chips show price vs our estimate.
6.7
Portugal · for
qualifying, per game
15.4
Total corners · projected
8.8
Croatia · for
qualifying, per game
Range market · price vs our estimate · tap to dutch
Tap two adjacent ranges to combine them into one dutched price.
Market
Asian Total Corners 9.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 9.5
No Difference1.07
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
Under 9.5
No Difference17.50
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Market prices returning shortly
Market
Asian Handicap Corners
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Portugal -0.5
Below Estimate2.72
Estimate
1.58
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
-24.2%
Below Est.
Croatia +0.5
Above Estimate1.59
Estimate
1.43
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
+16.1%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 2 Jul 09:30older price · 127d agoPinnacleas of 2 Jul 09:30older price · 127d ago
Match odds
Corner Handicap
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
1
1.9052%2
2.2045%Tie
7.5013%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
Corners Race
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
1
1.4469%2
2.6238%Neither
21.005%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
PortugalCroatia
Corners for / g
Corners against / g
Match corners / g
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q100%Team corners O3.5Q63%
Q83%Team corners O4.5Q63%
Q50%Match corners O8.5Q63%
Q17%Match corners O9.5Q63%
Q17%Match corners O10.5Q50%
Differential profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per game · qualifying campaign
Net difference
+5.6 · CROATIA
Portugal
+4.5
net per game
Croatia
+5.6
net per game
Upcoming matchesNext 6
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