R32 · Match 83FIFA World Cup 2026
Portugal
Manager: Roberto Martínez Montoliú
FT2 – 1
Croatia
Manager: Zlatko Dalić
68' C. Ronaldo (P)90+4' G. Ramos
53' I. Perišić
Toronto Stadium · Friday, 3 July 2026 · 00:00 · FT · Portugal won after full-time.
Market
Both Teams To Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.70
Bet365
—
No Diff
No
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.05
Bet365
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 2 Jul 23:45older price · 127d ago
BTTS Yes · Evidence
Stats odds2.29vs book · Bet3651.70STATS DIFF -25.6%
Portugal
50% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 9
4/9
Croatia
38% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
5/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 1.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 1.5
No Difference—
Estimate
1.26
Pinnacle
1.22
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
Under 1.5
No Difference—
Estimate
4.05
Pinnacle
3.95
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 2 Jul 23:45older price · 127d agoPinnacleas of 2 Jul 23:45older price · 127d ago
Over 1.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.26vs book · Pinnacle1.26STATS DIFF -0.3%
Portugal
83% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 9
7/9
Croatia
75% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
7/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 2.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
No Difference—
Estimate
1.87
Pinnacle
1.72
Bet365
—
No Diff
Under 2.5
No Difference—
Estimate
2.05
Pinnacle
2.10
Bet365
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 2 Jul 23:45older price · 127d agoPinnacleas of 2 Jul 23:45older price · 127d ago
Over 2.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.41vs book · Pinnacle1.87STATS DIFF +32.5%
Portugal
67% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 9
5/9
Croatia
75% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
7/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 3.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
No Difference—
Estimate
3.02
Pinnacle
2.76
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
Under 3.5
No Difference—
Estimate
1.40
Pinnacle
1.41
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 2 Jul 23:45older price · 127d agoPinnacleas of 2 Jul 23:45older price · 127d ago
Over 3.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.55vs book · Pinnacle3.02STATS DIFF +95.1%
Portugal
67% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 9
5/9
Croatia
63% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
5/10
Goal timing
When does the first goal arrive?
First goal of the game per 15-min window · qualifying campaign
Fixture read
0-15' MOST LIKELY
Across both campaigns the opener averages minute 25, landing most often in the 0-15 window.
Portugal
9 games · 1 goalless
21'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Croatia
10 games · 1 goalless
28'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Market
Portugal to Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference—
Estimate
1.20
Pinnacle
1.14
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
No
No Difference—
Estimate
4.47
Pinnacle
5.75
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 2 Jul 23:45older price · 127d agoPinnacleas of 2 Jul 09:30older price · 127d ago
Market
Croatia to Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference—
Estimate
1.47
Pinnacle
1.53
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
No
No Difference—
Estimate
2.71
Pinnacle
2.50
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 2 Jul 23:45older price · 127d agoPinnacleas of 2 Jul 09:30older price · 127d ago
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