R16 · Match 93FIFA World Cup 2026
Portugal
Manager: Roberto Martínez Montoliú
FT0 – 1
Spain
Manager: Luis De la Fuente Castillo
90+1' M. Merino
Dallas Stadium · Monday, 6 July 2026 · 20:00 · FT · Spain won after full-time.
Officiating
Referee profile
Sample
NO REFEREE
A. Taylor
Market
Total Cards Over/Under 2.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Below Estimate2.10
Estimate
1.66
Pinnacle
1.57
Bet365
-23.0%
Below Est.
Under 2.5
Above Estimate1.92
Estimate
2.21
Pinnacle
2.25
Bet365
+20.3%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 6 Jul 19:45older price · 123d agoPinnacleas of 6 Jul 19:45older price · 123d ago
Market
Total Cards Over/Under 3.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Below Estimate3.85
Estimate
2.39
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
-49.3%
Below Est.
Under 3.5
Above Estimate1.36
Estimate
1.57
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
+36.4%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 6 Jul 19:45older price · 123d agoPinnacleas of 6 Jul 19:45older price · 123d ago
Market
Total Cards Over/Under 4.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 4.5
Below Estimate8.40
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
3.15
Unibet
-61.6%
Below Est.
Under 4.5
Above Estimate1.14
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.30
Unibet
+17.1%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Unibetas of 6 Jul 19:45older price · 123d ago
Market
Both Teams To Receive a Card
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate2.40
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.53
Bet365
-34.6%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate1.72
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.37
Bet365
+41.9%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 6 Jul 19:45older price · 123d ago
Market
Asian Handicap Cards +0
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Portugal +0
No Difference1.52
Estimate
1.49
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
Spain +0
No Difference2.94
Estimate
2.58
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Pinnacleas of 6 Jul 19:45older price · 123d ago
Match odds
Player to be Booked
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
Joao Cancelo
2.87—Costa Samu
2.87—Francisco Conceicao
3.40—Goncalo Guedes
3.60—Ruben Neves
3.60—Mikel Merino
3.75—Alex Baena
3.75—Pedro Porro
3.75—Pau Cubarsi
3.75—Gavi
3.75—Bernardo Silva
4.00—Bruno Fernandes
4.00—Ruben Dias
4.00—Pedro Neto
4.00—Nuno Mendes
4.00—Joao Neves
4.00—Renato Veiga
4.00—Rodri
4.00—Aymeric Laporte
4.33—Marc Cucurella
4.33—Martin Zubimendi
4.33—Yeremy Pino
4.33—Nelson Semedo
4.50—Joao Felix
4.50—Diogo Dalot
4.50—Goncalo Inacio
4.50—Booked
4.7521%Marcos Llorente
5.00—Matheus Nunes
5.00—Cristiano Ronaldo
5.50—Borja Iglesias
5.50—Rafael Leao
5.50—Eric Garcia
5.50—Tomas Araujo
5.50—Lamine Yamal
6.00—Alex Grimaldo
6.00—Pedri
6.00—Jose Sa
6.50—Francisco Trincao
6.50—Fabian Ruiz
6.50—Goncalo Ramos
6.50—Nico Williams
6.50—Marc Pubill
6.50—Victor Munoz
7.50—Tiago Rui Silva
7.50—Dani Olmo
8.00—Mikel Oyarzabal
8.00—Ferran Torres
8.00—Diogo Costa
8.50—Vitinha
8.50—David Raya
13.00—Unai Simon
13.00—Joan Garcia
13.00—Source: bet365 · 53 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
1st Player Booked
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
Joao Cancelo
8.50—Costa Samu
8.50—Francisco Conceicao
10.00—Goncalo Guedes
11.00—Ruben Neves
11.00—Mikel Merino
12.00—Alex Baena
12.00—Pedro Porro
12.00—Pau Cubarsi
12.00—Gavi
12.00—Bernardo Silva
13.00—Bruno Fernandes
13.00—Ruben Dias
13.00—Pedro Neto
13.00—Nuno Mendes
13.00—Joao Neves
13.00—Renato Veiga
13.00—1st Card
13.008%Rodri
13.00—Nelson Semedo
15.00—Joao Felix
15.00—Diogo Dalot
15.00—Aymeric Laporte
15.00—Marc Cucurella
15.00—Martin Zubimendi
15.00—Yeremy Pino
15.00—Goncalo Inacio
15.00—Marcos Llorente
17.00—Matheus Nunes
17.00—Cristiano Ronaldo
19.00—Borja Iglesias
19.00—Rafael Leao
19.00—Eric Garcia
19.00—Tomas Araujo
19.00—Jose Sa
21.00—Francisco Trincao
21.00—Fabian Ruiz
21.00—Goncalo Ramos
21.00—Nico Williams
21.00—Marc Pubill
21.00—Lamine Yamal
21.00—Pedri
21.00—Alex Grimaldo
21.00—Victor Munoz
23.00—Tiago Rui Silva
23.00—Dani Olmo
26.00—Mikel Oyarzabal
26.00—Ferran Torres
26.00—Diogo Costa
29.00—Vitinha
29.00—David Raya
41.00—Unai Simon
41.00—Joan Garcia
41.00—Source: bet365 · 53 outcomes · informational only
Match events
Cards in this match
Total cards · Portugal 2 / Spain 1
State
FULL-TIME
89'Yellow cardPortugal
Bernardo Silva
Foul
90+4'Yellow cardPortugal
Renato Veiga
Foul
90+8'Yellow cardSpain
Ferran Torres
Foul
Season shape
Team card averages
Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
PortugalSpain
Team cards / g
Match cards / g
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q67%Team cards Over 1.5Q0%
Q17%Team cards Over 2.5Q0%
Q50%Match cards Over 3.5Q17%
Q67%Both teams cardedQ17%
Overall
Portugal
67%
Over 1.5
17%
Over 2.5
0%
Over 3.5
50%
Match O3.5
Spain
0%
Over 1.5
0%
Over 2.5
0%
Over 3.5
17%
Match O3.5
Upcoming matchesNext 6
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