R16 · Match 93FIFA World Cup 2026
Portugal
Manager: Roberto Martínez Montoliú
FT0 – 1
Spain
Manager: Luis De la Fuente Castillo
90+1' M. Merino
Dallas Stadium · Monday, 6 July 2026 · 20:00 · FT · Spain won after full-time.
Match odds
Corner Handicap
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
1
1.9052%2
2.2045%Tie
8.0013%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
Corners Race
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
2
1.5067%1
2.5040%Neither
34.003%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match forecast
Total corners · model prediction
Poisson on the combined campaign baseline · Sanstari estimate per band
Model state
OVER 14 RANGE
Most likely band is Over 14 corners. Range chips show price vs our estimate.
6.7
Portugal · for
qualifying, per game
13.8
Total corners · projected
7.2
Spain · for
qualifying, per game
Range market · price vs our estimate · tap to dutch
Tap two adjacent ranges to combine them into one dutched price.
Market
Asian Total Corners 9.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 9.5
No Difference1.14
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
Under 9.5
No Difference8.60
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Market prices returning shortly
Market
Asian Handicap Corners
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Portugal -0.5
Below Estimate2.32
Estimate
1.68
Pinnacle
1.95
Bet365
-12.9%
Below Est.
Spain +0.5
Above Estimate1.77
Estimate
1.47
Pinnacle
1.85
Bet365
+7.6%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 6 Jul 09:31older price · 124d agoPinnacleas of 6 Jul 09:31older price · 124d ago
Match odds
Corner Handicap
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
1
1.9052%2
2.2045%Tie
8.0013%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
Corners Race
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
2
1.5067%1
2.5040%Neither
34.003%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
PortugalSpain
Corners for / g
Corners against / g
Match corners / g
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q100%Team corners O3.5Q100%
Q83%Team corners O4.5Q83%
Q50%Match corners O8.5Q83%
Q17%Match corners O9.5Q67%
Q17%Match corners O10.5Q33%
Differential profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per game · qualifying campaign
Net difference
+4.5 · PORTUGAL
Portugal
+4.5
net per game
Spain
+4.5
net per game
Upcoming matchesNext 6
No upcoming fixtures.