R16 · Match 93FIFA World Cup 2026
Portugal
Manager: Roberto Martínez Montoliú
FT0 – 1
Spain
Manager: Luis De la Fuente Castillo
90+1' M. Merino
Dallas Stadium · Monday, 6 July 2026 · 20:00 · FT · Spain won after full-time.
Market
Both Teams To Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.70
Bet365
—
No Diff
No
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.05
Bet365
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 6 Jul 19:45older price · 123d ago
BTTS Yes · Evidence
Stats odds3.00vs book · Bet3651.70STATS DIFF -43.3%
Portugal
50% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
5/10
Spain
17% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
1/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 1.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 1.5
No Difference—
Estimate
1.23
Pinnacle
1.22
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
Under 1.5
No Difference—
Estimate
4.11
Pinnacle
3.65
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 6 Jul 19:45older price · 123d agoPinnacleas of 6 Jul 19:45older price · 123d ago
Over 1.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.09vs book · Pinnacle1.23STATS DIFF +12.7%
Portugal
83% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
8/10
Spain
100% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
8/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 2.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
No Difference—
Estimate
1.85
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
—
No Diff
Under 2.5
No Difference—
Estimate
2.07
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 6 Jul 19:45older price · 123d agoPinnacleas of 6 Jul 19:45older price · 123d ago
Over 2.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.33vs book · Pinnacle1.85STATS DIFF +38.8%
Portugal
67% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
6/10
Spain
83% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
7/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 3.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
No Difference—
Estimate
3.05
Pinnacle
2.75
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
Under 3.5
No Difference—
Estimate
1.38
Pinnacle
1.37
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 6 Jul 19:45older price · 123d agoPinnacleas of 6 Jul 19:45older price · 123d ago
Over 3.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.50vs book · Pinnacle3.05STATS DIFF +103.4%
Portugal
67% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
5/10
Spain
67% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
5/10
Goal timing
When does the first goal arrive?
First goal of the game per 15-min window · qualifying campaign
Fixture read
0-15' MOST LIKELY
Across both campaigns the opener averages minute 22, landing most often in the 0-15 window.
Portugal
10 games · 1 goalless
24'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Spain
10 games · 1 goalless
19'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Market
Portugal to Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference—
Estimate
1.43
Pinnacle
1.43
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
No
No Difference—
Estimate
2.87
Pinnacle
2.83
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 6 Jul 19:45older price · 123d agoPinnacleas of 6 Jul 09:31older price · 124d ago
Market
Spain to Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.18
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
No
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
4.80
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 6 Jul 19:45older price · 123d ago
Upcoming matchesNext 6
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