Group · Match 62FIFA World Cup 2026
Senegal
Manager: Pape Thiaw
FT5 – 0
Iraq
Manager: Graham Arnold
4' H. Diarra56' I. Sarr59' P. Gueye71' P. Gueye82' I. Ndiaye
Toronto Stadium · Friday, 26 June 2026 · 20:00 · FT · Senegal won after full-time.
Sanstari Daily Market Bulletin
Officiating

Referee profile

Sample
NO REFEREE
A. Taylor
No referee has been appointed for this fixture yet.
Market

Total Cards Over/Under 2.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +3.7% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
No Difference
1.65
Estimate
1.60
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
+3.7%
Below Bar
Under 2.5
Below Estimate
2.58
Estimate
2.31
Pinnacle
2.10
Bet365
-16.0%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 26 Jun 18:45older price · 133d agoPinnacleas of 26 Jun 18:45older price · 133d ago
Market

Total Cards Over/Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +1.3% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Below Estimate
2.60
Estimate
2.34
Pinnacle
2.20
Bet365
-12.7%
Below Est.
Under 3.5
No Difference
1.63
Estimate
1.59
Pinnacle
1.61
Bet365
+1.3%
Below Bar
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 26 Jun 18:45older price · 133d agoPinnacleas of 26 Jun 18:45older price · 133d ago
Market

Total Cards Over/Under 4.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +2.4% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 4.5
Below Estimate
4.80
Estimate
2.87
Pinnacle
3.35
Unibet
-28.7%
Below Est.
Under 4.5
No Difference
1.27
Estimate
1.38
Pinnacle
1.27
Unibet
+2.4%
Below Bar
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Unibetas of 26 Jun 18:45older price · 133d agoPinnacleas of 26 Jun 18:45older price · 133d ago
Market

Both Teams To Receive a Card

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +3.2% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference
1.60
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.61
Bet365
+3.2%
Below Bar
No
Below Estimate
2.68
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.20
Bet365
-15.4%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 26 Jun 18:45older price · 133d ago
Market

Asian Handicap Cards +0

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Senegal +0
No Difference
3.95
Estimate
2.29
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
Iraq +0
No Difference
1.35
Estimate
1.64
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Pinnacleas of 26 Jun 18:45older price · 133d ago
Match events

Cards in this match

Total cards · Senegal 2 / Iraq 3
State
FULL-TIME
13'Red card
Rebin Sulaka
Professional foul last man
Iraq
18'Yellow card
Abdoulaye Seck
Foul
Senegal
75'Yellow card
Amir Al-Ammari
Foul
Iraq
81'Yellow card
Pape Gueye
Foul
Senegal
90'Yellow card
Merchas Doski
Foul
Iraq
Season shape

Team card averages

Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
SenegalIraq
1.0
Team cards / g
1.9
2.7
Match cards / g
3.6
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q30%
Team cards Over 1.5
Q50%
Q0%
Team cards Over 2.5
Q15%
Q30%
Match cards Over 3.5
Q55%
Q60%
Both teams carded
Q65%
Overall
Senegal
30%
Over 1.5
0%
Over 2.5
0%
Over 3.5
30%
Match O3.5
Iraq
50%
Over 1.5
15%
Over 2.5
0%
Over 3.5
55%
Match O3.5
Group IView group
TeamPLWDL+/−GDPTSNext
1
France
330010-2+89—
2
Norway
32018-7+16—
3
Senegal
31028-6+23—
4
Iraq
30031-12-110—
Other Group I matches5
Upcoming matchesNext 6
No upcoming fixtures.
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Player PropsStandout shot / SOT / card prices