Group · Match 62FIFA World Cup 2026
Senegal
Manager: Pape Thiaw
FT5 – 0
Iraq
Manager: Graham Arnold
4' H. Diarra56' I. Sarr59' P. Gueye71' P. Gueye82' I. Ndiaye
Toronto Stadium · Friday, 26 June 2026 · 20:00 · FT · Senegal won after full-time.
Sanstari Daily Market Bulletin
Match odds

Corner Handicap

Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
1
1.9052%
2
2.1048%
Tie
8.0013%
Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match odds

Corners Race

Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
1
1.2580%
2
3.7527%
Neither
29.003%
Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

Poisson on the combined campaign baseline · Sanstari estimate per band
Model state
9 TO 11 RANGE
Most likely band is 9 to 11 corners. Range chips show price vs our estimate.
4.8
Senegal · for
qualifying, per game
9.2
Total corners · projected
μ 9.20
4.4
Iraq · for
qualifying, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs our estimate · tap to dutch
Tap two adjacent ranges to combine them into one dutched price.
Market

Asian Total Corners 9.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 9.5
No Difference
2.28
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
Under 9.5
No Difference
1.79
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Market prices returning shortly
Market

Asian Handicap Corners

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Senegal -0.5
Above Estimate
1.70
Estimate
1.69
Pinnacle
1.95
Bet365
+18.2%
Above Est.
Iraq +0.5
Below Estimate
2.46
Estimate
1.67
Pinnacle
1.85
Bet365
-22.3%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 26 Jun 09:30older price · 134d agoPinnacleas of 26 Jun 09:30older price · 134d ago
Match odds

Corner Handicap

Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
1
1.9052%
2
2.1048%
Tie
8.0013%
Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match odds

Corners Race

Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
1
1.2580%
2
3.7527%
Neither
29.003%
Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
SenegalIraq
4.8
Corners for / g
4.4
2.6
Corners against / g
4.5
7.4
Match corners / g
8.9
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q70%
Team corners O3.5
Q35%
Q60%
Team corners O4.5
Q20%
Q30%
Match corners O8.5
Q35%
Q20%
Match corners O9.5
Q25%
Q20%
Match corners O10.5
Q25%
Differential profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per game · qualifying campaign
Net difference
+2.2 · SENEGAL
Senegal
+2.2
net per game
For
4.8
Against
2.6
Iraq
-0.1
net per game
For
4.4
Against
4.5