R32 · Match 73FIFA World Cup 2026
South Africa
Manager: Hugo Broos
FT0 – 1
Canada
Manager: Jesse Marsch
90+2' S. Eustaquio
Los Angeles Stadium · Sunday, 28 June 2026 · 20:00 · FT · Canada won after full-time.
Sanstari Daily Market Bulletin
Officiating

Referee profile

Sample
NO REFEREE
João Pedro Silva Pinheiro
No referee has been appointed for this fixture yet.
Market

Total Cards Over/Under 2.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Below Estimate
1.48
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.36
Unibet
-5.6%
Below Est.
Under 2.5
Below Estimate
3.15
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.85
Unibet
-6.6%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Unibetas of 28 Jun 19:03older price · 131d ago
Market

Total Cards Over/Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Below Estimate
2.16
Estimate
1.76
Pinnacle
1.72
Bet365
-18.1%
Below Est.
Under 3.5
Above Estimate
1.87
Estimate
2.08
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
+9.9%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 28 Jun 19:03older price · 131d agoPinnacleas of 28 Jun 19:03older price · 131d ago
Market

Total Cards Over/Under 4.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 4.5
Below Estimate
3.65
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.65
Unibet
-25.4%
Below Est.
Under 4.5
Above Estimate
1.38
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.41
Unibet
+5.2%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Unibetas of 28 Jun 19:03older price · 131d ago
Market

Both Teams To Receive a Card

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate
1.67
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.30
Bet365
-19.8%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate
2.50
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
3.40
Bet365
+39.3%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 28 Jun 19:03older price · 131d ago
Market

Asian Handicap Cards +0

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
South Africa +0
No Difference
2.38
Estimate
1.48
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
Canada +0
No Difference
1.73
Estimate
2.62
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Pinnacleas of 28 Jun 19:03older price · 131d ago
Match odds

Player to be Booked

Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
Booked
5.5018%
Source: bet365 · 1 outcomes · informational only
Match odds

1st Player Booked

Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
1st Card
19.005%
Source: bet365 · 1 outcomes · informational only
Match events

Cards in this match

Total cards · South Africa 0 / Canada 2
State
FULL-TIME
54'Yellow card
Nathan-Dylan Saliba
Foul
Canada
67'Yellow card
Niko Sigur
Foul
Canada
Season shape

Team card averages

Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
South AfricaCanada
1.6
Team cards / g
—
3.5
Match cards / g
—
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q40%
Team cards Over 1.5
Q—
Q40%
Team cards Over 2.5
Q—
Q40%
Match cards Over 3.5
Q—
Q60%
Both teams carded
Q—
Overall
South Africa
40%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
0%
Over 3.5
40%
Match O3.5
Canada
No card data on file
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