R32 · Match 73FIFA World Cup 2026
South Africa
Manager: Hugo Broos
FT0 – 1
Canada
Manager: Jesse Marsch
90+2' S. Eustaquio
Los Angeles Stadium · Sunday, 28 June 2026 · 20:00 · FT · Canada won after full-time.
Match odds
Corner Handicap
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
1
1.9052%2
2.1048%Tie
8.0013%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
Corners Race
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
2
1.3375%1
3.2531%Neither
34.003%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match forecast
Total corners · model prediction
Poisson on the combined campaign baseline · Sanstari estimate per band
Model state
6 TO 8 RANGE
Most likely band is 6 to 8 corners. Range chips show price vs our estimate.
6.4
South Africa · for
qualifying, per game
8.5
Total corners · projected
—
Canada · for
qualifying, per game
Range market · price vs our estimate · tap to dutch
Tap two adjacent ranges to combine them into one dutched price.
Market
Asian Total Corners 9.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 9.5
No Difference2.90
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
Under 9.5
No Difference1.54
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Market prices returning shortly
Market
Asian Handicap Corners
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
South Africa -0.5
Above Estimate1.10
Estimate
1.71
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
+86.9%
Above Est.
Canada +0.5
Below Estimate11.50
Estimate
1.55
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
-83.6%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 28 Jun 09:30older price · 131d agoPinnacleas of 28 Jun 09:30older price · 131d ago
Match odds
Corner Handicap
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
1
1.9052%2
2.1048%Tie
8.0013%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
Corners Race
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
2
1.3375%1
3.2531%Neither
34.003%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
South AfricaCanada
Corners for / g
Corners against / g
Match corners / g
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q80%Team corners O3.5Q—
Q70%Team corners O4.5Q—
Q30%Match corners O8.5Q—
Q30%Match corners O9.5Q—
Q30%Match corners O10.5Q—
Differential profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per game · qualifying campaign
Net difference
+4.3 · SOUTH AFRICA
South Africa
+4.3
net per game
Canada
—
net per game
Upcoming matchesNext 6
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