R32 · Match 73FIFA World Cup 2026
South Africa
Manager: Hugo Broos
FT0 – 1
Canada
Manager: Jesse Marsch
90+2' S. Eustaquio
Los Angeles Stadium · Sunday, 28 June 2026 · 20:00 · FT · Canada won after full-time.
Market
Both Teams To Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.10
Bet365
—
No Diff
No
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 28 Jun 19:03older price · 131d ago
BTTS Yes · Evidence
Stats odds2.50vs book · Bet3652.10STATS DIFF -16.0%
South Africa
40% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
3/10
Canada: no qualifying campaign data
Market
Goals Over / Under 1.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 1.5
No Difference—
Estimate
1.42
Pinnacle
1.41
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
Under 1.5
No Difference—
Estimate
2.93
Pinnacle
2.76
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 28 Jun 19:03older price · 131d agoPinnacleas of 28 Jun 19:03older price · 131d ago
Over 1.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.11vs book · Pinnacle1.42STATS DIFF +27.8%
South Africa
90% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
8/10
Canada: no qualifying campaign data
Market
Goals Over / Under 2.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
No Difference—
Estimate
2.34
Pinnacle
2.20
Bet365
—
No Diff
Under 2.5
No Difference—
Estimate
1.65
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 28 Jun 19:03older price · 131d agoPinnacleas of 28 Jun 19:03older price · 131d ago
Over 2.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds2.50vs book · Pinnacle2.34STATS DIFF -6.4%
South Africa
40% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
3/10
Canada: no qualifying campaign data
Market
Goals Over / Under 3.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
No Difference—
Estimate
3.43
Pinnacle
4.10
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
Under 3.5
No Difference—
Estimate
1.30
Pinnacle
1.21
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 28 Jun 19:03older price · 131d agoPinnacleas of 28 Jun 19:03older price · 131d ago
Over 3.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds10.00vs book · Marathonbet4.10STATS DIFF -59.0%
South Africa
10% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
1/10
Canada: no qualifying campaign data
Goal timing
When does the first goal arrive?
First goal of the game per 15-min window · qualifying campaign
Fixture read
0-15' MOST LIKELY
Across both campaigns the opener averages minute 27, landing most often in the 0-15 window.
South Africa
10 games · 1 goalless
26'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Canada
3 games · 0 goalless
28'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Market
South Africa to Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference—
Estimate
1.74
Pinnacle
1.73
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
No
No Difference—
Estimate
2.11
Pinnacle
2.11
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 28 Jun 19:03older price · 131d agoPinnacleas of 28 Jun 09:30older price · 131d ago
Market
Canada to Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference—
Estimate
1.20
Pinnacle
1.22
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
No
No Difference—
Estimate
4.47
Pinnacle
4.30
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 28 Jun 19:03older price · 131d agoPinnacleas of 28 Jun 09:30older price · 131d ago
Upcoming matchesNext 6
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