Group · Match 12FIFA World Cup 2026
Sweden
Manager: Graham Potter
FT5 – 1
Tunisia
Manager: Sabri Lamouchi
7' Y. Ayari30' A. Isak59' V. Gyökeres84' M. Svanberg90+6' Y. Ayari
43' O. Rekik
Monterrey Stadium · Monday, 15 June 2026 · 03:00 · FT · Sweden won after full-time.
Officiating
Referee profile
Sample
NO REFEREE
Y. Falcón Pérez
Market
Total Cards Over/Under 2.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Above Estimate1.25
Estimate
1.37
Pinnacle
1.42
Unibet
+17.4%
Above Est.
Under 2.5
Below Estimate5.20
Estimate
2.99
Pinnacle
2.60
Unibet
-49.0%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Unibetas of 14 Jun 23:30older price · 145d agoPinnacleas of 14 Jun 23:30older price · 145d ago
Market
Total Cards Over/Under 3.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Above Estimate1.60
Estimate
1.89
Pinnacle
1.72
Bet365
+11.0%
Above Est.
Under 3.5
Below Estimate2.70
Estimate
1.93
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
-23.7%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 14 Jun 23:30older price · 145d agoPinnacleas of 14 Jun 23:30older price · 145d ago
Market
Total Cards Over/Under 4.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 4.5
Below Estimate2.32
Estimate
2.87
Pinnacle
2.20
Bet365
-1.8%
Below Est.
Under 4.5
Below Estimate1.77
Estimate
1.39
Pinnacle
1.61
Bet365
-6.4%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 14 Jun 23:30older price · 145d agoPinnacleas of 14 Jun 23:30older price · 145d ago
Market
Both Teams To Receive a Card
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Above Estimate1.20
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.30
Bet365
+12.1%
Above Est.
No
Below Estimate6.20
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
3.40
Bet365
-43.3%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 14 Jun 23:30older price · 145d ago
Market
Asian Handicap Cards +0
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Sweden +0
No Difference1.91
Estimate
2.08
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
Tunisia +0
No Difference2.12
Estimate
1.76
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Pinnacleas of 14 Jun 23:30older price · 145d ago
Match odds
Player to be Booked
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
Booked
5.5018%Source: bet365 · 1 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
1st Player Booked
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
1st Card
21.005%Source: bet365 · 1 outcomes · informational only
Match events
Cards in this match
Total cards · Sweden 0 / Tunisia 1
State
FULL-TIME
54'Yellow cardTunisia
Rani Khedira
Foul
Season shape
Team card averages
Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
SwedenTunisia
Team cards / g
Match cards / g
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q63%Team cards Over 1.5Q40%
Q25%Team cards Over 2.5Q20%
Q50%Match cards Over 3.5Q60%
Q88%Both teams cardedQ80%
Overall
Sweden
63%
Over 1.5
25%
Over 2.5
25%
Over 3.5
50%
Match O3.5
Tunisia
40%
Over 1.5
20%
Over 2.5
20%
Over 3.5
60%
Match O3.5
Group FView group
| Team | PL | W | D | L | +/− | GD | PTS | Next | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10-4 | +6 | 7 | |
| 2 | Japan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7-3 | +4 | 5 | |
| 3 | Sweden | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7-7 | 0 | 4 | |
| 4 | Tunisia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2-12 | -10 | 0 |
Other Group F matches5
Upcoming matchesNext 6
No upcoming fixtures.