Group · Match 12FIFA World Cup 2026
Sweden
Manager: Graham Potter
FT5 – 1
Tunisia
Manager: Sabri Lamouchi
7' Y. Ayari30' A. Isak59' V. Gyökeres84' M. Svanberg90+6' Y. Ayari
43' O. Rekik
Monterrey Stadium · Monday, 15 June 2026 · 03:00 · FT · Sweden won after full-time.
Match odds
Corner Handicap
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
11
1.9052%22
2.2045%Tie 11
8.0013%Tie
8.0013%Source: bet365 · 4 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
Corners Race
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
11
1.7258%22
2.3742%Neither
41.002%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match forecast
Total corners · model prediction
Poisson on the combined campaign baseline · Sanstari estimate per band
Model state
9 TO 11 RANGE
Most likely band is 9 to 11 corners. Range chips show price vs our estimate.
4.9
Sweden · for
qualifying, per game
9.8
Total corners · projected
4.9
Tunisia · for
qualifying, per game
Range market · price vs our estimate · tap to dutch
Tap two adjacent ranges to combine them into one dutched price.
Market
Asian Total Corners 9.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 9.5
Below Estimate1.95
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
-4.8%
Below Est.
Under 9.5
No Difference2.06
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 9 Jun 21:28older price · 150d ago
Market
Asian Handicap Corners
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Sweden -0.5
Below Estimate3.15
Estimate
1.72
Pinnacle
1.95
Bet365
-37.1%
Below Est.
Tunisia +0.5
Above Estimate1.47
Estimate
1.52
Pinnacle
1.85
Bet365
+29.4%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 14 Jun 09:31older price · 146d agoPinnacleas of 14 Jun 09:31older price · 146d ago
Match odds
Corner Handicap
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
11
1.9052%22
2.2045%Tie 11
8.0013%Tie
8.0013%Source: bet365 · 4 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
Corners Race
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
11
1.7258%22
2.3742%Neither
41.002%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
SwedenTunisia
Corners for / g
Corners against / g
Match corners / g
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q63%Team corners O3.5Q80%
Q38%Team corners O4.5Q60%
Q63%Match corners O8.5Q40%
Q63%Match corners O9.5Q40%
Q63%Match corners O10.5Q30%
Differential profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per game · qualifying campaign
Net difference
+1.7 · TUNISIA
Sweden
-0.1
net per game
Tunisia
+1.7
net per game
Group FView group
| Team | PL | W | D | L | +/− | GD | PTS | Next | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10-4 | +6 | 7 | |
| 2 | Japan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7-3 | +4 | 5 | |
| 3 | Sweden | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7-7 | 0 | 4 | |
| 4 | Tunisia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2-12 | -10 | 0 |
Other Group F matches5
Upcoming matchesNext 6
No upcoming fixtures.