Group · Match 36FIFA World Cup 2026
Tunisia
Manager: Sabri Lamouchi
FT0 – 4
Japan
Manager: Hajime Moriyasu
4' D. Kamada31' A. Ueda69' J. Ito83' A. Ueda
Monterrey Stadium · Sunday, 21 June 2026 · 05:00 · FT · Japan won after full-time.
Sanstari Daily Market Bulletin
Officiating

Referee profile

Sample
NO REFEREE
I. Kovacs
No referee has been appointed for this fixture yet.
Market

Total Cards Over/Under 2.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +4.9% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
No Difference
1.69
Estimate
1.66
Pinnacle
1.72
Bet365
+4.9%
Below Bar
Under 2.5
Below Estimate
2.46
Estimate
2.20
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
-16.7%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 21 Jun 03:00older price · 139d agoPinnacleas of 21 Jun 03:00older price · 139d ago
Market

Total Cards Over/Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Below Estimate
2.72
Estimate
2.53
Pinnacle
2.40
Unibet
-9.1%
Below Est.
Under 3.5
Below Estimate
1.59
Estimate
1.51
Pinnacle
1.49
Unibet
-3.9%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Unibetas of 21 Jun 03:00older price · 139d agoPinnacleas of 21 Jun 03:00older price · 139d ago
Market

Total Cards Over/Under 4.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +4.1% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 4.5
Below Estimate
5.10
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
3.30
Unibet
-34.0%
Below Est.
Under 4.5
No Difference
1.25
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.27
Unibet
+4.1%
Below Bar
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Unibetas of 21 Jun 03:00older price · 139d ago
Market

Both Teams To Receive a Card

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference
1.71
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
—
No Diff
No
Below Estimate
2.44
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.10
Bet365
-11.0%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 21 Jun 03:00older price · 139d ago
Market

Asian Handicap Cards +0

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Tunisia +0
No Difference
1.21
Estimate
1.41
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
Japan +0
No Difference
5.80
Estimate
2.89
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Pinnacleas of 21 Jun 03:00older price · 139d ago
Season shape

Team card averages

Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
TunisiaJapan
1.9
Team cards / g
0.7
4.4
Match cards / g
1.8
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q40%
Team cards Over 1.5
Q6%
Q20%
Team cards Over 2.5
Q0%
Q60%
Match cards Over 3.5
Q19%
Q80%
Both teams carded
Q38%
Overall
Tunisia
40%
Over 1.5
20%
Over 2.5
20%
Over 3.5
60%
Match O3.5
Japan
6%
Over 1.5
0%
Over 2.5
0%
Over 3.5
19%
Match O3.5