Group · Match 36FIFA World Cup 2026
Tunisia
Manager: Sabri Lamouchi
FT0 – 4
Japan
Manager: Hajime Moriyasu
4' D. Kamada31' A. Ueda69' J. Ito83' A. Ueda
Monterrey Stadium · Sunday, 21 June 2026 · 05:00 · FT · Japan won after full-time.
Match odds
Corner Handicap
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
11
1.8355%22
2.3043%Tie -2-2
7.5013%Tie
7.5013%Source: bet365 · 4 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
Corners Race
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
22
1.5067%11
2.5040%Neither
23.004%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match forecast
Total corners · model prediction
Poisson on the combined campaign baseline · Sanstari estimate per band
Model state
12 TO 14 RANGE
Most likely band is 12 to 14 corners. Range chips show price vs our estimate.
4.9
Tunisia · for
qualifying, per game
12.1
Total corners · projected
7.2
Japan · for
qualifying, per game
Range market · price vs our estimate · tap to dutch
Tap two adjacent ranges to combine them into one dutched price.
Market
Asian Total Corners 9
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 9
Above Estimate1.20
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
+63.8%
Above Est.
Under 9
Below Estimate6.20
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
-68.3%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 9 Jun 21:30older price · 150d ago
Market
Asian Handicap Corners
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Tunisia -0.5
Below Estimate5.00
Estimate
1.51
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
-61.2%
Below Est.
Japan +0.5
Above Estimate1.26
Estimate
1.83
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
+55.7%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 20 Jun 09:31older price · 140d agoPinnacleas of 20 Jun 09:31older price · 140d ago
Match odds
Corner Handicap
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
11
1.8355%22
2.3043%Tie -2-2
7.5013%Tie
7.5013%Source: bet365 · 4 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
Corners Race
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
22
1.5067%11
2.5040%Neither
23.004%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
TunisiaJapan
Corners for / g
Corners against / g
Match corners / g
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q80%Team corners O3.5Q88%
Q60%Team corners O4.5Q81%
Q40%Match corners O8.5Q56%
Q40%Match corners O9.5Q31%
Q30%Match corners O10.5Q19%
Differential profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per game · qualifying campaign
Net difference
+5.5 · JAPAN
Tunisia
+1.7
net per game
Japan
+5.5
net per game
Group FView group
| Team | PL | W | D | L | +/− | GD | PTS | Next | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10-4 | +6 | 7 | |
| 2 | Japan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7-3 | +4 | 5 | |
| 3 | Sweden | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7-7 | 0 | 4 | |
| 4 | Tunisia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2-12 | -10 | 0 |
Other Group F matches5
Upcoming matchesNext 6
No upcoming fixtures.