Group · Match 58FIFA World Cup 2026
Tunisia
Manager: Hervé Renard
FT1 – 3
Netherlands
Manager: Ronald Koeman
54' H. Mastouri
3' E. Skhiri (OG)7' B. Brobbey62' J. Hecke
Kansas City Stadium · Friday, 26 June 2026 · 00:00 · FT · Netherlands won after full-time.
Sanstari Daily Market Bulletin
Officiating

Referee profile

Sample
NO REFEREE
K. Itzel García
No referee has been appointed for this fixture yet.
Market

Total Cards Over/Under 2.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Above Estimate
1.45
Estimate
2.46
Pinnacle
2.20
Bet365
+56.0%
Above Est.
Under 2.5
Below Estimate
3.30
Estimate
1.54
Pinnacle
1.61
Bet365
-49.7%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 25 Jun 23:00older price · 134d agoPinnacleas of 25 Jun 23:00older price · 134d ago
Market

Total Cards Over/Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Above Estimate
2.10
Estimate
3.70
Pinnacle
3.35
Unibet
+64.2%
Above Est.
Under 3.5
Below Estimate
1.93
Estimate
1.26
Pinnacle
1.27
Unibet
-32.1%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Unibetas of 25 Jun 23:00older price · 134d agoPinnacleas of 25 Jun 23:00older price · 134d ago
Market

Total Cards Over/Under 4.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 4.5
Below Estimate
3.50
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
3.10
Unibet
-8.8%
Below Est.
Under 4.5
Below Estimate
1.41
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.30
Unibet
-5.1%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Unibetas of 25 Jun 23:00older price · 134d ago
Market

Both Teams To Receive a Card

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Above Estimate
1.54
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.10
Bet365
+40.0%
Above Est.
No
Below Estimate
2.86
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
-40.3%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 25 Jun 23:00older price · 134d ago
Market

Asian Handicap Cards +0

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Tunisia +0
No Difference
1.27
Estimate
1.45
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
Netherlands +0
No Difference
4.80
Estimate
2.73
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Pinnacleas of 25 Jun 23:00older price · 134d ago
Season shape

Team card averages

Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
TunisiaNetherlands
1.9
Team cards / g
0.9
4.4
Match cards / g
2.8
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q40%
Team cards Over 1.5
Q25%
Q20%
Team cards Over 2.5
Q0%
Q60%
Match cards Over 3.5
Q13%
Q80%
Both teams carded
Q50%
Overall
Tunisia
40%
Over 1.5
20%
Over 2.5
20%
Over 3.5
60%
Match O3.5
Netherlands
25%
Over 1.5
0%
Over 2.5
0%
Over 3.5
13%
Match O3.5