Group · Match 58FIFA World Cup 2026
Tunisia
Manager: Hervé Renard
FT1 – 3
Netherlands
Manager: Ronald Koeman
54' H. Mastouri
3' E. Skhiri (OG)7' B. Brobbey62' J. Hecke
Kansas City Stadium · Friday, 26 June 2026 · 00:00 · FT · Netherlands won after full-time.
Sanstari Daily Market Bulletin
Match odds

Corner Handicap

Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
2
1.9551%
1
2.0549%
Tie
8.0013%
Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match odds

Corners Race

Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
2
1.1885%
1
4.5022%
Neither
29.003%
Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

Poisson on the combined campaign baseline · Sanstari estimate per band
Model state
9 TO 11 RANGE
Most likely band is 9 to 11 corners. Range chips show price vs our estimate.
4.9
Tunisia · for
qualifying, per game
11.4
Total corners · projected
μ 11.40
6.5
Netherlands · for
qualifying, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs our estimate · tap to dutch
Tap two adjacent ranges to combine them into one dutched price.
Market

Asian Total Corners 9.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 9.5
No Difference
1.43
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
Under 9.5
No Difference
3.35
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Market prices returning shortly
Market

Asian Handicap Corners

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Tunisia -0.5
Below Estimate
4.10
Estimate
1.68
Pinnacle
1.95
Bet365
-51.2%
Below Est.
Netherlands +0.5
Above Estimate
1.33
Estimate
1.93
Pinnacle
1.82
Bet365
+41.1%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 25 Jun 09:31older price · 135d agoPinnacleas of 25 Jun 09:31older price · 135d ago
Match odds

Corner Handicap

Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
2
1.9551%
1
2.0549%
Tie
8.0013%
Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match odds

Corners Race

Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
2
1.1885%
1
4.5022%
Neither
29.003%
Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
TunisiaNetherlands
4.9
Corners for / g
6.5
3.2
Corners against / g
1.9
8.1
Match corners / g
8.4
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q80%
Team corners O3.5
Q88%
Q60%
Team corners O4.5
Q88%
Q40%
Match corners O8.5
Q25%
Q40%
Match corners O9.5
Q25%
Q30%
Match corners O10.5
Q25%
Differential profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per game · qualifying campaign
Net difference
+4.6 · NETHERLANDS
Tunisia
+1.7
net per game
For
4.9
Against
3.2
Netherlands
+4.6
net per game
For
6.5
Against
1.9