Group · Match 58FIFA World Cup 2026
Tunisia
Manager: Hervé Renard
FT1 – 3
Netherlands
Manager: Ronald Koeman
54' H. Mastouri
3' E. Skhiri (OG)7' B. Brobbey62' J. Hecke
Kansas City Stadium · Friday, 26 June 2026 · 00:00 · FT · Netherlands won after full-time.
Sanstari Daily Market Bulletin
Market

Both Teams To Score

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate
6.20
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.50
Bet365
-58.3%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate
1.20
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.50
Bet365
+28.2%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 25 Jun 23:00older price · 134d ago
BTTS Yes · Evidence
Stats odds5.33vs book · Bet3652.50STATS DIFF -53.1%
0
Tunisia
0% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
1/10
38
Netherlands
38% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
5/10
Market

Goals Over / Under 1.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 1.5
Below Estimate
1.41
Estimate
1.25
Pinnacle
1.07
Marathonbet
-21.9%
Below Est.
Under 1.5
Above Estimate
3.50
Estimate
3.69
Pinnacle
5.95
Marathonbet
+75.0%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 25 Jun 23:00older price · 134d agoPinnacleas of 25 Jun 23:00older price · 134d ago
Over 1.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.33vs book · Pinnacle1.25STATS DIFF -6.3%
50
Tunisia
50% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
6/10
100
Netherlands
100% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
10/10
Market

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Below Estimate
2.20
Estimate
1.38
Pinnacle
1.40
Bet365
-34.6%
Below Est.
Under 2.5
Above Estimate
1.85
Estimate
3.03
Pinnacle
3.00
Bet365
+66.7%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 25 Jun 23:00older price · 134d agoPinnacleas of 25 Jun 23:00older price · 134d ago
Over 2.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.95vs book · Bet3651.40STATS DIFF -28.3%
40
Tunisia
40% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
5/10
63
Netherlands
63% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
7/10
Market

Goals Over / Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Below Estimate
4.20
Estimate
2.04
Pinnacle
1.98
Marathonbet
-50.5%
Below Est.
Under 3.5
Above Estimate
1.33
Estimate
1.86
Pinnacle
1.83
Marathonbet
+41.9%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 25 Jun 23:00older price · 134d agoPinnacleas of 25 Jun 23:00older price · 134d ago
Over 3.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds2.42vs book · Pinnacle2.04STATS DIFF -15.8%
20
Tunisia
20% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
3/10
63
Netherlands
63% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
7/10
Goal timing

When does the first goal arrive?

First goal of the game per 15-min window · qualifying campaign
Fixture read
0-15' MOST LIKELY
Across both campaigns the opener averages minute 28, landing most often in the 0-15 window.
Tunisia
10 games · 1 goalless
38'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Netherlands
10 games · 0 goalless
19'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Market

Tunisia to Score

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate
5.60
Estimate
2.62
Pinnacle
2.36
Marathonbet
-56.3%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate
1.23
Estimate
1.50
Pinnacle
1.52
Marathonbet
+27.7%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 25 Jun 23:00older price · 134d agoPinnacleas of 25 Jun 09:31older price · 135d ago
Market

Netherlands to Score

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate
1.12
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.01
Marathonbet
-6.5%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate
10.50
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
15.75
Marathonbet
+60.7%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 25 Jun 23:00older price · 134d ago
Group FView group
TeamPLWDL+/−GDPTSNext
1
Netherlands
321010-4+67—
2
Japan
31207-3+45—
3
Sweden
31117-704—
4
Tunisia
30032-12-100—
Other Group F matches5
Upcoming matchesNext 6
No upcoming fixtures.
All GroupsA–L
ABCDEFGHIJKL
Player PropsStandout shot / SOT / card prices