Group · Match 31FIFA World Cup 2026
Türkiye
Manager: Vincenzo Montella
FT0 – 1
Paraguay
Manager: Gustavo Alfaro
2' M. Fonda
San Francisco Bay Area Stadium · Saturday, 20 June 2026 · 04:00 · FT · Paraguay won after full-time.
Officiating
Referee profile
Sample
NO REFEREE
I. Barton
Market
Total Cards Over/Under 2.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
No Difference1.25
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
Under 2.5
No Difference5.10
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Market prices returning shortly
Market
Total Cards Over/Under 3.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +2.5% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
No Difference1.62
Estimate
1.52
Pinnacle
1.61
Bet365
+2.5%
Below Bar
Under 3.5
Below Estimate2.64
Estimate
2.50
Pinnacle
2.20
Bet365
-14.7%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 20 Jun 03:01older price · 140d agoPinnacleas of 20 Jun 03:01older price · 140d ago
Market
Total Cards Over/Under 4.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +1.2% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 4.5
Below Estimate2.34
Estimate
2.11
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
-12.3%
Below Est.
Under 4.5
No Difference1.75
Estimate
1.71
Pinnacle
1.72
Bet365
+1.2%
Below Bar
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 20 Jun 03:01older price · 140d agoPinnacleas of 20 Jun 03:01older price · 140d ago
Market
Both Teams To Receive a Card
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +1.7% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference1.21
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.20
Bet365
+1.7%
Below Bar
No
Below Estimate5.80
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
4.33
Bet365
-22.7%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 20 Jun 03:01older price · 140d ago
Market
Asian Handicap Cards +0
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Türkiye +0
No Difference1.57
Estimate
2.18
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
Paraguay +0
No Difference2.78
Estimate
1.70
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Pinnacleas of 20 Jun 03:01older price · 140d ago
Match events
Cards in this match
Total cards · Türkiye 2 / Paraguay 2
State
FULL-TIME
4'Yellow cardParaguay
Matías Galarza Fonda
Foul
45+3'Red cardParaguay
Miguel Almirón
Unsportsmanlike conduct
63'Yellow cardTürkiye
Vincenzo Montella
Argument
71'Yellow cardTürkiye
Eren Elmalı
Foul
Season shape
Team card averages
Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
TürkiyeParaguay
Team cards / g
Match cards / g
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q63%Team cards Over 1.5Q67%
Q50%Team cards Over 2.5Q33%
Q50%Match cards Over 3.5Q61%
Q88%Both teams cardedQ78%
Overall
Türkiye
63%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
38%
Over 3.5
50%
Match O3.5
Paraguay
67%
Over 1.5
33%
Over 2.5
22%
Over 3.5
61%
Match O3.5
Group DView group
| Team | PL | W | D | L | +/− | GD | PTS | Next | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | United States | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8-4 | +4 | 6 | |
| 2 | Australia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | |
| 3 | Paraguay | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2-4 | -2 | 4 | |
| 4 | Türkiye | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3-5 | -2 | 3 |
Other Group D matches5
Upcoming matchesNext 6
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