Group · Match 31FIFA World Cup 2026
Türkiye
Manager: Vincenzo Montella
FT0 – 1
Paraguay
Manager: Gustavo Alfaro
2' M. Fonda
San Francisco Bay Area Stadium · Saturday, 20 June 2026 · 04:00 · FT · Paraguay won after full-time.
Match odds
Corner Handicap
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
22
1.9052%11
2.2045%Tie
7.5013%Tie 11
7.5013%Source: bet365 · 4 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
Corners Race
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
11
1.6660%22
13.008%Neither
21.005%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match forecast
Total corners · model prediction
Poisson on the combined campaign baseline · Sanstari estimate per band
Model state
9 TO 11 RANGE
Most likely band is 9 to 11 corners. Range chips show price vs our estimate.
6.0
Türkiye · for
qualifying, per game
10.4
Total corners · projected
4.4
Paraguay · for
qualifying, per game
Range market · price vs our estimate · tap to dutch
Tap two adjacent ranges to combine them into one dutched price.
Market
Asian Total Corners 8.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 8.5
Above Estimate1.40
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
+32.4%
Above Est.
Under 8.5
Below Estimate3.55
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
-42.0%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 9 Jun 21:30older price · 150d ago
Market
Asian Handicap Corners
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +1.1% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Türkiye -0.5
No Difference1.89
Estimate
1.53
Pinnacle
1.85
Bet365
+1.1%
Below Bar
Paraguay +0.5
Below Estimate2.14
Estimate
2.46
Pinnacle
1.95
Bet365
-6.3%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 9 Jun 21:30older price · 150d agoPinnacleas of 9 Jun 21:30older price · 150d ago
Match odds
Corner Handicap
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
22
1.9052%11
2.2045%Tie
7.5013%Tie 11
7.5013%Source: bet365 · 4 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
Corners Race
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
11
1.6660%22
13.008%Neither
21.005%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
TürkiyeParaguay
Corners for / g
Corners against / g
Match corners / g
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q63%Team corners O3.5Q67%
Q63%Team corners O4.5Q50%
Q75%Match corners O8.5Q56%
Q63%Match corners O9.5Q44%
Q63%Match corners O10.5Q28%
Differential profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per game · qualifying campaign
Net difference
+1.1 · TÜRKIYE
Türkiye
+1.1
net per game
Paraguay
-0.4
net per game
Group DView group
| Team | PL | W | D | L | +/− | GD | PTS | Next | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | United States | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8-4 | +4 | 6 | |
| 2 | Australia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | |
| 3 | Paraguay | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2-4 | -2 | 4 | |
| 4 | Türkiye | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3-5 | -2 | 3 |
Other Group D matches5
Upcoming matchesNext 6
No upcoming fixtures.