Group · Match 4FIFA World Cup 2026
United States
Manager: Mauricio Pochettino Trossero
FT4 – 1
Paraguay
Manager: Gustavo Alfaro
7' D. Bobadilla (OG)31' F. Balogun45+5' F. Balogun90+8' G. Reyna
73' Mauricio
Los Angeles Stadium · Saturday, 13 June 2026 · 02:00 · FT · United States won after full-time.
Officiating
Referee profile
Sample
NO REFEREE
D. Makkelie
Market
Total Cards Over/Under 2.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Above Estimate1.25
Estimate
1.34
Pinnacle
1.30
Unibet
+7.4%
Above Est.
Under 2.5
Below Estimate5.20
Estimate
3.10
Pinnacle
3.10
Unibet
-39.2%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Unibetas of 12 Jun 23:45older price · 147d agoPinnacleas of 12 Jun 23:45older price · 147d ago
Market
Total Cards Over/Under 3.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Above Estimate1.60
Estimate
1.88
Pinnacle
1.72
Bet365
+11.0%
Above Est.
Under 3.5
Below Estimate2.70
Estimate
1.94
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
-23.7%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 12 Jun 23:45older price · 147d agoPinnacleas of 12 Jun 23:45older price · 147d ago
Market
Total Cards Over/Under 4.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 4.5
Above Estimate2.30
Estimate
2.79
Pinnacle
2.40
Unibet
+7.1%
Above Est.
Under 4.5
Below Estimate1.78
Estimate
1.41
Pinnacle
1.49
Unibet
-13.9%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Unibetas of 12 Jun 23:45older price · 147d agoPinnacleas of 12 Jun 23:45older price · 147d ago
Market
Both Teams To Receive a Card
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Above Estimate1.29
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.33
Bet365
+6.4%
Above Est.
No
Below Estimate4.60
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
3.25
Bet365
-26.1%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 12 Jun 23:45older price · 147d ago
Market
Asian Handicap Cards +0
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
United States +0
No Difference2.32
Estimate
2.07
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
Paraguay +0
No Difference1.77
Estimate
1.77
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Pinnacleas of 12 Jun 23:45older price · 147d ago
Match odds
Player to be Booked
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
Booked
3.7527%Source: bet365 · 1 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
1st Player Booked
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
1st Card
13.008%Source: bet365 · 1 outcomes · informational only
Match events
Cards in this match
Total cards · United States 1 / Paraguay 5
State
FULL-TIME
10'Yellow cardParaguay
Juan José Cáceres
Foul
53'Yellow cardParaguay
Miguel Almirón
Simulation
59'Yellow cardUnited States
Tyler Adams
Foul
79'Yellow cardParaguay
Diego Gómez
Foul
88'Yellow cardParaguay
Álex Arce
Foul
90+3'Yellow cardParaguay
Júnior Alonso
Foul
Season shape
Team card averages
Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
United StatesParaguay
Team cards / g
Match cards / g
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q—Team cards Over 1.5Q67%
Q—Team cards Over 2.5Q33%
Q—Match cards Over 3.5Q61%
Q—Both teams cardedQ78%
Overall
United States
No card data on file
Paraguay
67%
Over 1.5
33%
Over 2.5
22%
Over 3.5
61%
Match O3.5
Group DView group
| Team | PL | W | D | L | +/− | GD | PTS | Next | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | United States | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8-4 | +4 | 6 | |
| 2 | Australia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | |
| 3 | Paraguay | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2-4 | -2 | 4 | |
| 4 | Türkiye | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3-5 | -2 | 3 |
Other Group D matches5
Upcoming matchesNext 6
No upcoming fixtures.