Group · Match 4FIFA World Cup 2026
United States
Manager: Mauricio Pochettino Trossero
FT4 – 1
Paraguay
Manager: Gustavo Alfaro
7' D. Bobadilla (OG)31' F. Balogun45+5' F. Balogun90+8' G. Reyna
73' Mauricio
Los Angeles Stadium · Saturday, 13 June 2026 · 02:00 · FT · United States won after full-time.
Match odds
Corner Handicap
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
11
1.9052%22
2.2045%Tie
7.5013%Tie 11
7.5013%Source: bet365 · 4 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
Corners Race
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
11
2.0050%22
3.5029%Neither
21.005%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match forecast
Total corners · model prediction
Poisson on the combined campaign baseline · Sanstari estimate per band
Model state
9 TO 11 RANGE
Most likely band is 9 to 11 corners. Range chips show price vs our estimate.
—
United States · for
qualifying, per game
9.3
Total corners · projected
4.4
Paraguay · for
qualifying, per game
Range market · price vs our estimate · tap to dutch
Tap two adjacent ranges to combine them into one dutched price.
Market
Asian Total Corners 8.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 8.5
Above Estimate1.73
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
+13.1%
Above Est.
Under 8.5
Below Estimate2.40
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
-18.1%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 9 Jun 21:28older price · 150d ago
Market
Asian Handicap Corners
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
United States -0.5
No Difference2.08
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
-1.0%
Below Est.
Paraguay +0.5
Below Estimate1.94
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
-4.8%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 9 Jun 21:28older price · 150d ago
Match odds
Corner Handicap
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
11
1.9052%22
2.2045%Tie
7.5013%Tie 11
7.5013%Source: bet365 · 4 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
Corners Race
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
11
2.0050%22
3.5029%Neither
21.005%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
United StatesParaguay
Corners for / g
Corners against / g
Match corners / g
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q—Team corners O3.5Q67%
Q—Team corners O4.5Q50%
Q—Match corners O8.5Q56%
Q—Match corners O9.5Q44%
Q—Match corners O10.5Q28%
Differential profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per game · qualifying campaign
Net difference
-0.4 · PARAGUAY
United States
—
net per game
Paraguay
-0.4
net per game
Group DView group
| Team | PL | W | D | L | +/− | GD | PTS | Next | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | United States | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8-4 | +4 | 6 | |
| 2 | Australia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | |
| 3 | Paraguay | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2-4 | -2 | 4 | |
| 4 | Türkiye | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3-5 | -2 | 3 |
Other Group D matches5
Upcoming matchesNext 6
No upcoming fixtures.