Group · Match 66FIFA World Cup 2026
Uruguay
Manager: Marcelo Bielsa Caldera
FT0 – 1
Spain
Manager: Luis De la Fuente Castillo
42' Á. Baena
Guadalajara Stadium · Saturday, 27 June 2026 · 01:00 · FT · Spain won after full-time.
Sanstari Daily Market Bulletin
Officiating

Referee profile

Sample
NO REFEREE
I. Elfath
No referee has been appointed for this fixture yet.
Market

Total Cards Over/Under 2.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Below Estimate
1.72
Estimate
1.54
Pinnacle
1.43
Unibet
-14.4%
Below Est.
Under 2.5
Above Estimate
2.42
Estimate
2.46
Pinnacle
2.60
Unibet
+11.1%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Unibetas of 26 Jun 22:45older price · 133d agoPinnacleas of 26 Jun 22:45older price · 133d ago
Market

Total Cards Over/Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Below Estimate
2.80
Estimate
2.32
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
-26.5%
Below Est.
Under 3.5
Above Estimate
1.57
Estimate
1.60
Pinnacle
1.72
Bet365
+13.2%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 26 Jun 22:45older price · 133d agoPinnacleas of 26 Jun 22:45older price · 133d ago
Market

Total Cards Over/Under 4.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 4.5
Below Estimate
5.30
Estimate
2.77
Pinnacle
2.10
Bet365
-59.6%
Below Est.
Under 4.5
Above Estimate
1.24
Estimate
1.41
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
+38.3%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 26 Jun 22:45older price · 133d agoPinnacleas of 26 Jun 22:45older price · 133d ago
Market

Both Teams To Receive a Card

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate
2.12
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.44
Bet365
-30.1%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate
1.90
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.62
Bet365
+41.6%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 26 Jun 22:45older price · 133d ago
Market

Asian Handicap Cards +0

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Uruguay +0
No Difference
1.28
Estimate
1.37
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
Spain +0
No Difference
4.70
Estimate
3.05
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Pinnacleas of 26 Jun 22:45older price · 133d ago
Match events

Cards in this match

Total cards · Uruguay 4 / Spain 1
State
FULL-TIME
46'Yellow card
Álex Baena
Foul
Spain
54'Yellow card
Juan Manuel Sanabria
Foul
Uruguay
58'Yellow card
Guillermo Varela
Off the ball foul
Uruguay
90+3'Yellow card
Nicolás de la Cruz
Foul
Uruguay
90+5'Red card
Agustín Canobbio
Foul
Uruguay
Season shape

Team card averages

Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
UruguaySpain
2.1
Team cards / g
1.0
4.6
Match cards / g
1.5
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q67%
Team cards Over 1.5
Q0%
Q39%
Team cards Over 2.5
Q0%
Q61%
Match cards Over 3.5
Q17%
Q78%
Both teams carded
Q17%
Overall
Uruguay
67%
Over 1.5
39%
Over 2.5
22%
Over 3.5
61%
Match O3.5
Spain
0%
Over 1.5
0%
Over 2.5
0%
Over 3.5
17%
Match O3.5