Group · Match 66FIFA World Cup 2026
Uruguay
Manager: Marcelo Bielsa Caldera
FT0 – 1
Spain
Manager: Luis De la Fuente Castillo
42' Á. Baena
Guadalajara Stadium · Saturday, 27 June 2026 · 01:00 · FT · Spain won after full-time.
Match odds
Corner Handicap
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
2
1.9551%1
2.1048%Tie
8.0013%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
Corners Race
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
2
1.3673%1
3.0033%Neither
29.003%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match forecast
Total corners · model prediction
Poisson on the combined campaign baseline · Sanstari estimate per band
Model state
9 TO 11 RANGE
Most likely band is 9 to 11 corners. Range chips show price vs our estimate.
4.4
Uruguay · for
qualifying, per game
11.6
Total corners · projected
7.2
Spain · for
qualifying, per game
Range market · price vs our estimate · tap to dutch
Tap two adjacent ranges to combine them into one dutched price.
Market
Asian Total Corners 9.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 9.5
No Difference1.40
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
Under 9.5
No Difference3.55
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Market prices returning shortly
Market
Asian Handicap Corners
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Uruguay -0.5
Below Estimate5.70
Estimate
1.56
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
-63.6%
Below Est.
Spain +0.5
Above Estimate1.22
Estimate
2.02
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
+52.5%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 26 Jun 09:31older price · 134d agoPinnacleas of 26 Jun 09:31older price · 134d ago
Match odds
Corner Handicap
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
2
1.9551%1
2.1048%Tie
8.0013%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
Corners Race
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
2
1.3673%1
3.0033%Neither
29.003%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
UruguaySpain
Corners for / g
Corners against / g
Match corners / g
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q50%Team corners O3.5Q100%
Q44%Team corners O4.5Q83%
Q44%Match corners O8.5Q83%
Q39%Match corners O9.5Q67%
Q33%Match corners O10.5Q33%
Differential profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per game · qualifying campaign
Net difference
+4.5 · SPAIN
Uruguay
-0.1
net per game
Spain
+4.5
net per game
Group HView group
| Team | PL | W | D | L | +/− | GD | PTS | Next | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5-0 | +5 | 7 | — |
| 2 | Cape Verde Islands | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | — |
| 3 | Uruguay | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3-4 | -1 | 2 | — |
| 4 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1-5 | -4 | 2 | — |
Other Group H matches5
Upcoming matchesNext 6
No upcoming fixtures.