SBI
EERSTE DIVISIE
Jong AZ
LDWLD
  • Budko 16'
  • Hartog 22'
  • Hartog 51'
  • Elkjær 78'
  • Esajas 90+3'
FT5 – 4
Helmond Sport
LLDLL
  • Essakkati 29'
  • Huiberts 35'
  • Ludwig 59'
  • Ekoli 89'
Friday, 23 October 2026 · 19:00
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Match state
SETTLED · FT 5–4
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
6.2
Jong AZ · for
at home, per game
12.2
Total corners · projected
μ 12.18
5.9
Helmond Sport · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair
Under 6
Price15.00
Fair25.03
LOST
6 to 8
Price4.00
Fair3.11
LOST
9 to 11
Price2.62
Fair3.25
LOST
12 to 14
Price3.50
Fair6.17
WON
Over 14
Price6.50
Fair5.93
LOST
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 9.5

Settled · FT 5–4
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
1.30
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.56
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 9.5
4.50
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.32
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
Jong AZHelmond Sport
—
Corners for · per game
—
—
Corners against · per game
—
Hit rates · over markets
L2071%
Over 3.5 corners
L2059%
L2051%
Over 4.5 corners
L2054%
L2032%
Over 5.5 corners
L2044%
L2051%
Over 9.5 total
L2059%
L2046%
Over 10.5 total
L2044%
L2041%
Match corners W%
L2049%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
2%
Under 6
2%
34%
6 to 8
32%
32%
9 to 11
32%
17%
12 to 14
15%
15%
Over 14
20%
Jong AZ · 41 matchesHelmond Sport · 41 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
NO DATA
Jong AZ · home
—
net per game
For
—
Against
—
Helmond Sport · away
—
net per game
For
—
Against
—