SBI
LEAGUE TWO
Crewe Alexandra
DDDDD
  • Lankester 1'
  • Lankester (pen) 21'
  • Gibson 66'
FT3 – 1
Bristol Rovers
WWLLW
  • Kamwa 90+2'
Saturday, 3 October 2026 · 15:00
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Match state
SETTLED · FT 3–1
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
5.7
Crewe Alexandra · for
at home, per game
10.9
Total corners · projected
μ 10.89
5.2
Bristol Rovers · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair
Under 6
Price9.00
Fair9.49
LOST
6 to 8
Price3.00
Fair3.30
WON
9 to 11
Price2.62
Fair3.23
LOST
12 to 14
Price4.50
Fair4.71
LOST
Over 14
Price11.00
Fair14.39
LOST
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 8.5

Settled · FT 3–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 8.5
1.32
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.47
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 8.5
4.20
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.56
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 9.5

Settled · FT 3–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
1.55
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.95
bet365
1.83
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 9.5
2.84
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.85
bet365
1.95
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Asian Handicap Corners 0

Settled · FT 3–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Crewe Alexandra 0
1.79
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.95
bet365
1.80
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Bristol Rovers 0
2.28
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.85
bet365
1.93
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
Crewe AlexandraBristol Rovers
4.6
Corners for · per game
4.5
5.0
Corners against · per game
5.1
Hit rates · over markets
L2061%
Over 3.5 corners
L2066%
L2048%
Over 4.5 corners
L2049%
L2032%
Over 5.5 corners
L2029%
L2050%
Over 9.5 total
L2047%
L2034%
Over 10.5 total
L2036%
L2049%
Match corners W%
L2046%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
15%
Under 6
7%
22%
6 to 8
34%
39%
9 to 11
29%
17%
12 to 14
24%
7%
Over 14
5%
Crewe Alexandra · 41 matchesBristol Rovers · 41 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
-0.5 · CREWE ALEXANDRA
Crewe Alexandra · home
-0.5
net per game
For
4.6
Against
5.2
Bristol Rovers · away
-1.3
net per game
For
3.9
Against
5.2
Market

Crewe Alexandra Corners Over / Under 4.5

Settled · FT 3–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 4.5
1.50
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.83
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 4.5
3.05
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.83
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Bristol Rovers Corners Over / Under 4.5

Settled · FT 3–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 4.5
1.68
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.83
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 4.5
2.50
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.83
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
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