SBI
LEAGUE TWO
Chesterfield
DDWWL
  • Markanday 15'
  • Marsh 83'
  • Koroma 85'
  • Koroma 90+1'
FT4 – 2
Tranmere Rovers
DWLDD
  • Jones 59'
  • Slater 90+4'
Saturday, 3 October 2026 · 12:30
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Match state
SETTLED · FT 4–2
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
6.4
Chesterfield · for
at home, per game
11.3
Total corners · projected
μ 11.32
4.9
Tranmere Rovers · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair
Under 6
Price9.00
Fair18.81
LOST
6 to 8
Price3.00
Fair3.05
LOST
9 to 11
Price2.62
Fair3.22
LOST
12 to 14
Price4.50
Fair5.17
WON
Over 14
Price11.00
Fair8.70
LOST
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 8.5

Settled · FT 4–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 8.5
1.26
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.51
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 8.5
4.90
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.44
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 9.5

Settled · FT 4–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
1.45
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.97
bet365
1.88
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 9.5
3.30
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.82
bet365
1.88
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
ChesterfieldTranmere Rovers
5.8
Corners for · per game
4.7
4.2
Corners against · per game
4.9
Hit rates · over markets
L2073%
Over 3.5 corners
L2057%
L2061%
Over 4.5 corners
L2049%
L2050%
Over 5.5 corners
L2029%
L2055%
Over 9.5 total
L2047%
L2039%
Over 10.5 total
L2033%
L2051%
Match corners W%
L2025%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
7%
Under 6
3%
29%
6 to 8
38%
37%
9 to 11
28%
15%
12 to 14
28%
12%
Over 14
5%
Chesterfield · 41 matchesTranmere Rovers · 40 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+2.5 · CHESTERFIELD
Chesterfield · home
+2.5
net per game
For
6.4
Against
4.0
Tranmere Rovers · away
-1.0
net per game
For
4.5
Against
5.5
Market

Chesterfield Corners Over / Under 5.5

Settled · FT 4–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 5.5
1.62
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.80
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 5.5
2.62
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.90
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Tranmere Rovers Corners Over / Under 3.5

Settled · FT 4–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 3.5
1.39
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.00
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 3.5
3.60
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.72
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
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