SBI
CHAMPIONS LEAGUE
Como
WLDLW
  • Paz 2'
  • Douvikas 49'
  • Paz 57'
  • Ramón 76'
FT4 – 1
Manchester United
LDDLD
  • Zirkzee 90+1'
Wednesday, 21 October 2026 · 17:45 · Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Match state
SETTLED · FT 4–1
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
5.6
Como · for
at home, per game
10.2
Total corners · projected
μ 10.22
4.6
Manchester United · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair
Under 6
Price10.00
Fair5.95
WON
6 to 8
Price3.20
Fair2.46
LOST
9 to 11
Price2.60
Fair5.28
LOST
12 to 14
Price4.33
Fair7.02
LOST
Over 14
Price10.00
Fair10.68
LOST
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 8.5

Settled · FT 4–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 8.5
1.45
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.63
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 8.5
3.25
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.26
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 9.5

Settled · FT 4–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
1.76
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.85
bet365
2.03
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 9.5
2.34
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.95
bet365
1.78
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Asian Handicap Corners 0

Settled · FT 4–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Como 0
1.57
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.78
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Manchester United 0
2.80
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.00
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
ComoManchester United
4.6
Corners for · per game
5.1
3.6
Corners against · per game
4.6
Hit rates · over markets
L2063%
Over 3.5 corners
L2068%
L2046%
Over 4.5 corners
L2051%
L2035%
Over 5.5 corners
L2037%
L2035%
Over 9.5 total
L2049%
L2024%
Over 10.5 total
L2039%
L2060%
Match corners W%
L2053%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
23%
Under 6
8%
40%
6 to 8
38%
20%
9 to 11
23%
8%
12 to 14
25%
10%
Over 14
8%
Como · 40 matchesManchester United · 40 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+2.3 · COMO
Como · home
+2.3
net per game
For
5.1
Against
2.8
Manchester United · away
-0.4
net per game
For
4.8
Against
5.1
Market

Como Corners Over / Under 4.5

Settled · FT 4–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 4.5
1.52
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.66
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 4.5
2.96
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.10
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Manchester United Corners Over / Under 4.5

Settled · FT 4–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 4.5
2.06
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.00
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 4.5
1.95
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.72
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
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