SBI
CHAMPIONS LEAGUE
Sporting CP
WDDWW
  • Suárez (pen) 5'
  • Suárez 89'
FT2 – 3
LASK
LDLLW
  • Lang 15'
  • Kalajdzic 63'
  • Danek 68'
Wednesday, 21 October 2026 · 20:00 · Estádio José Alvalade
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Match state
SETTLED · FT 2–3
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
6.4
Sporting CP · for
at home, per game
11.1
Total corners · projected
μ 11.09
4.7
LASK · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair
Under 6
Price11.00
Fair10.19
LOST
6 to 8
Price3.40
Fair3.67
LOST
9 to 11
Price2.62
Fair3.00
WON
12 to 14
Price4.00
Fair5.86
LOST
Over 14
Price8.00
Fair8.01
LOST
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 9.5

Settled · FT 2–3
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
1.50
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.75
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 9.5
3.05
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.07
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
Sporting CPLASK
6.0
Corners for · per game
5.4
3.3
Corners against · per game
4.5
Hit rates · over markets
L2067%
Over 3.5 corners
L2074%
L2061%
Over 4.5 corners
L2049%
L2048%
Over 5.5 corners
L2042%
L2044%
Over 9.5 total
L2052%
L2034%
Over 10.5 total
L2045%
L2056%
Match corners W%
L2054%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
11%
Under 6
9%
29%
6 to 8
23%
40%
9 to 11
31%
11%
12 to 14
23%
9%
Over 14
14%
Sporting CP · 45 matchesLASK · 35 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+3.6 · SPORTING CP
Sporting CP · home
+3.6
net per game
For
6.5
Against
2.9
LASK · away
-0.4
net per game
For
4.9
Against
5.3
Market

Sporting CP Corners Over / Under 6.5

Settled · FT 2–3
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 6.5
2.20
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.80
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 6.5
1.84
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.90
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

LASK Corners Over / Under 2.5

Settled · FT 2–3
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 2.5
1.18
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.66
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 2.5
6.60
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.10
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
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