SBI
LEAGUE TWO
Port Vale
LWWDL
  • Hernández 2'
  • Byers (pen) 11'
  • Gabriel 22'
  • Figueroa 86'
FT4 – 2
Rochdale
WDLDL
  • Henderson 82'
  • Tasker 90+4'
Saturday, 31 October 2026 · 12:30
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Match state
SETTLED · FT 4–2
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
6.1
Port Vale · for
at home, per game
11.4
Total corners · projected
μ 11.44
5.3
Rochdale · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair
Under 6
Price10.00
Fair19.14
LOST
6 to 8
Price3.10
Fair2.98
WON
9 to 11
Price2.62
Fair3.72
LOST
12 to 14
Price4.33
Fair4.36
LOST
Over 14
Price10.00
Fair8.72
LOST
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 8.5

Settled · FT 4–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 8.5
1.25
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.46
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 8.5
5.20
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.59
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 9.5

Settled · FT 4–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
1.42
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.90
bet365
1.79
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 9.5
3.40
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.90
bet365
1.97
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
Port ValeRochdale
4.8
Corners for · per game
4.4
5.3
Corners against · per game
5.4
Hit rates · over markets
L2066%
Over 3.5 corners
L2053%
L2051%
Over 4.5 corners
L2044%
L2034%
Over 5.5 corners
L2031%
L2055%
Over 9.5 total
L2044%
L2044%
Over 10.5 total
L2038%
L2040%
Match corners W%
L2020%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
5%
Under 6
7%
29%
6 to 8
47%
31%
9 to 11
13%
26%
12 to 14
13%
9%
Over 14
20%
Port Vale · 65 matchesRochdale · 15 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+0.4 · PORT VALE
Port Vale · home
+0.4
net per game
For
5.3
Against
4.8
Rochdale · away
-1.4
net per game
For
4.1
Against
5.6
Market

Port Vale Corners Over / Under 5.5

Settled · FT 4–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 5.5
1.74
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.00
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 5.5
2.38
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.72
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Rochdale Corners Over / Under 4.5

Settled · FT 4–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 4.5
1.64
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.20
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 4.5
2.58
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.61
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
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