SBI
LEAGUE TWO
Newport County
DWDDL
  • Norman 14'
  • Davies 18'
  • Biggins 29'
  • Bamba 45+2'
FT4 – 1
Chesterfield
WDLDW
  • Unknown 49'
  • Mandeville 58'
Friday, 30 October 2026 · 19:45
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Match state
SETTLED · FT 4–1
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
4.9
Newport County · for
at home, per game
11.2
Total corners · projected
μ 11.17
6.3
Chesterfield · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair
Under 6
Price7.00
Fair10.79
LOST
6 to 8
Price2.75
Fair4.95
LOST
9 to 11
Price2.75
Fair2.31
WON
12 to 14
Price5.50
Fair5.93
LOST
Over 14
Price13.00
Fair9.70
LOST
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 8.5

Settled · FT 4–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 8.5
1.28
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.58
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 8.5
4.70
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.28
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 9.5

Settled · FT 4–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
1.48
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.96
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 9.5
3.15
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.81
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
Newport CountyChesterfield
3.7
Corners for · per game
5.8
5.9
Corners against · per game
4.2
Hit rates · over markets
L2062%
Over 3.5 corners
L2076%
L2036%
Over 4.5 corners
L2061%
L2021%
Over 5.5 corners
L2050%
L2055%
Over 9.5 total
L2055%
L2034%
Over 10.5 total
L2039%
L2049%
Match corners W%
L2057%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
10%
Under 6
7%
10%
6 to 8
29%
54%
9 to 11
38%
18%
12 to 14
17%
8%
Over 14
10%
Newport County · 39 matchesChesterfield · 42 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+0.7 · CHESTERFIELD
Newport County · home
-0.9
net per game
For
4.5
Against
5.4
Chesterfield · away
+0.7
net per game
For
5.1
Against
4.4
Market

Newport County Corners Over / Under 3.5

Settled · FT 4–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 3.5
1.40
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.80
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 3.5
3.55
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.90
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Chesterfield Corners Over / Under 4.5

Settled · FT 4–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 4.5
1.33
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.66
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 4.5
4.10
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.10
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
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