SBI
CHAMPIONS LEAGUE
Real Madrid
WLWWW
  • Silva 43'
  • Güler 52'
  • Mbappé 83'
  • Diomande 87'
FT4 – 1
RB Leipzig
WLWWL
  • Gomis 85'
Wednesday, 21 October 2026 · 20:00 · Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Season shape

Team card averages

Bilateral comparison · historical match cards
Venue
Real MadridRB Leipzig
2.3
Team cards · per game
1.6
5.0
Total match cards · per game
3.1
Hit rates · home v away
L2048%
Cards match bet W%
L2047%
L2083%
Both teams carded
L2059%
L2058%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2034%
L2065%
Over 3.5 total cards
L2038%
Team cards by line · home at home v away away
L2083%
Over 0.5 team cards
L2080%
L2054%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2053%
L2025%
Over 2.5 team cards
L2047%
L2013%
Over 3.5 team cards
L207%
Team cards by line · overall
L2085%
Over 0.5 team cards
L2081%
L2058%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2034%
L2029%
Over 2.5 team cards
L2028%
L2019%
Over 3.5 team cards
L209%
Officiating

Referee profile

Card profile · last 12 months · 32 matches
Match average
4.97 YELLOWS / GAME
I. Kovacs
Champions League · 32 matches in the last 12 months
32
Apps
159
Yellows
4.97
Yellows / game
15
Reds
Cards by half
1H cards—
Avg—
2H cards—
Avg—
Team cards
Home cards2.22 avg
Away cards3.22 avg
Both teams29/3291%
Over / under cards
Ref—+0.5no data
Ref100%+1.532/32 matches
Ref88%+2.528/32 matches
Ref72%+3.523/32 matches
Model

Cards · model prediction

Venue, overall and league hit rates, referee where on file · averaged into the model figure
Match state
SETTLED · FT 4–1
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
Total cardsvia match book
Source51%Venueover 3.5 hit rate
Source52%Overallover 3.5 hit rate
Source54%Leagueover 3.5 hit rate
Source72%Refereeover 3.5 hit rate
Model57%MasterP(over 3.5)
Market

Total Cards Over / Under 3.5

Settled · card count not recorded
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 3.5
1.75
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.72
bet365
1.94
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 3.5
2.34
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.00
bet365
1.88
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Total Cards Over / Under 4.5

Settled · card count not recorded
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 4.5
—
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.20
bet365
2.99
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 4.5
—
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.61
bet365
1.37
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Asian Handicap Cards 0

Settled · card count not recorded
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Real Madrid 0
—
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.49
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
RB Leipzig 0
—
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.48
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Real Madrid (H) · team cardsOver 1.5 line
Source54%Venueover 1.5 hit rate
Source58%Overallover 1.5 hit rate
Source35%Leagueover 1.5 hit rate
Model49%MasterP(over 1.5)
RB Leipzig (A) · team cardsOver 1.5 line
Source53%Venueover 1.5 hit rate
Source34%Overallover 1.5 hit rate
Source14%Leagueover 1.5 hit rate
Model34%MasterP(over 1.5)
Market

Both Teams To Receive A Card

Settled · card count not recorded
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Yes
1.41
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.33
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
No
3.45
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
3.25
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Both Teams 2+ Cards

Settled · card count not recorded
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Yes
—
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.50
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
No
—
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.50
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.