SBI
CHAMPIONS LEAGUE
Real Madrid
WLWWW
  • Silva 43'
  • Güler 52'
  • Mbappé 83'
  • Diomande 87'
FT4 – 1
RB Leipzig
WLWWL
  • Gomis 85'
Wednesday, 21 October 2026 · 20:00 · Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Match state
SETTLED · FT 4–1
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
6.9
Real Madrid · for
at home, per game
11.9
Total corners · projected
μ 11.86
4.9
RB Leipzig · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair
Under 6
Price—
Fair7.32
LOST
6 to 8
Price—
Fair6.33
WON
9 to 11
Price—
Fair2.95
LOST
12 to 14
Price—
Fair4.99
LOST
Over 14
Price—
Fair6.02
LOST
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 9.5

Settled · FT 4–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
1.35
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.62
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 9.5
3.95
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.27
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
Real MadridRB Leipzig
6.3
Corners for · per game
5.0
4.3
Corners against · per game
5.1
Hit rates · over markets
L2088%
Over 3.5 corners
L2066%
L2067%
Over 4.5 corners
L2059%
L2056%
Over 5.5 corners
L2044%
L2057%
Over 9.5 total
L2054%
L2046%
Over 10.5 total
L2039%
L2063%
Match corners W%
L2053%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
8%
Under 6
16%
17%
6 to 8
19%
33%
9 to 11
31%
25%
12 to 14
22%
17%
Over 14
13%
Real Madrid · 48 matchesRB Leipzig · 32 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+3.2 · REAL MADRID
Real Madrid · home
+3.2
net per game
For
7.2
Against
4.0
RB Leipzig · away
-1.1
net per game
For
4.2
Against
5.3
Market

Real Madrid Corners Over / Under 6.5

Settled · FT 4–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 6.5
1.86
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.80
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 6.5
2.18
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.90
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

RB Leipzig Corners Over / Under 3.5

Settled · FT 4–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 3.5
1.38
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.10
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 3.5
3.70
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.66
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
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